Too Much Traffic!

By Robert Bowman

Forbes

Novem­ber 18, 2013

The nation’s net­work of high­ways, roads and bridges isn’t equipped to han­dle the huge growth in traf­fic that’s expect­ed in com­ing years, said Bill Logue, pres­i­dent and chief exec­u­tive offi­cer of FedEx Freight.

Speak­ing in Hous­ton at the annu­al con­fer­ence of the Nation­al Indus­tri­al Trans­porta­tion League, Logue said the U.S. trans­porta­tion infra­struc­ture isn’t even suf­fi­cient to han­dle today’s needs, let alone those of the future. “We must begin to address aging infra­struc­ture across every mode of trans­porta­tion,” he said.

Logue cit­ed a pre­dic­tion by the U.S. Fed­er­al High­way Administra­tion that traf­fic vol­ume on roads and high­ways will more than dou­ble between 2010 and 2040. Most of the growth will take place in urban areas,which are already under stress. Improve­ments in the sys­tem are “vital to eco­nom­ic growth, the cre­ation of jobs and access to goods and ser­vices,” he said.

Repairs, upgrades and new con­struc­tion are need­ed across the board, Logue said. On the avi­a­tion side, the Air Traf­fic Con­trol Sys­tem is built on design ele­ments “that have not changed since the 1950s.”

FedEx sup­ports the Fed­er­al Avi­a­tion Admin­is­tra­tion’Next Gen­er­a­tion Air Trans­porta­tion Sys­tem, or NextGen, which will rely on satel­lite-based tech­nol­o­gy and is being imple­ment­ed in stages through 2025. It will allow pilots to choose their own flight paths, lead­ing to an esti­mat­ed fuel sav­ings of $23 bil­lion by 2018, accord­ing to FAA.

Changes are also need­ed among air­freight ser­vice providers. The top 20 air­ports in the U.S. will all expe­ri­ence severe con­ges­tion over the next decade, and most are in need of new run­ways to han­dle the addi­tion­al demand, Logue said.

Paper­work con­tin­ues to be a major headache. An inter­na­tion­al air ship­ment can gen­er­ate more than 30 doc­u­ments. An elec­tron­ic-freight ini­tia­tive spear­head­ed by the Inter­na­tion­al Air Trans­port Asso­ci­a­tion could save ship­pers and car­ri­ers $12 bil­lion, while pre­vent­ing up to 80 per­cent of paper­work-caused delays. “We can­not solve tomorrow’s chal­lenges with yesterday’s approach­es,” Logue said.

Sea­ports are in dire need of berth expan­sion and dredg­ing, to accom­mo­date the new gen­er­a­tion of larg­er con­tain­er­ships. Even with­out the arrival of those mega-ves­sels, “many of the nation’s ports are already expe­ri­enc­ing con­ges­tion and delay,” Logue said. Like sur­face-trans­porta­tion inter­ests, they don’t have the mon­ey to do the job. The U.S. Sen­ate recent­ly passed the Water Resources Devel­op­ment Act of 2013, which pro­motes har­bor-devel­op­ment projects, but doesn’t spec­i­fy how they would be funded.

Else­where in the world, trans­porta­tion sys­tems are in a sim­i­lar­ly poor state, accord­ing to Logue. China’s total invest­ment in infra­struc­ture over the years equals 76 per­cent of its gross domes­tic prod­uct, he said, but spend­ing has not been dis­trib­uted equal­ly among all modes. In India, mean­while, most high­ways are of two lanes or less. And Brazil, one of the world’s most promis­ing devel­op­ing economies, ranks near the bot­tom in the qual­i­ty of its roads, rail­roads and ports.

The com­ing trans­porta­tion cri­sis is more than a ques­tion of inad­e­quate phys­i­cal assets. Logue also blamed gov­ern­ment reg­u­la­tion for ham­per­ing car­ri­ers. The new Hours of Ser­vice restric­tions for truck­ers are expect­ed to cut dri­ver pro­duc­tiv­i­ty by 2% to 10%, he said. Accord­ing to a new sur­vey by the Amer­i­can Trans­porta­tion Research Insti­tute,  more than 80 per­cent of motor car­ri­ers say they’ve been neg­a­tive­ly affect­ed by the rules.

Logue also crit­i­cized the Com­pli­ance, Safe­ty, Account­abil­i­ty (CSA) pro­gram of the Fed­er­al Motor Car­ri­er Safe­ty Admin­is­tra­tion. While the agency’s goal of pro­mot­ing safe­ty is com­mend­able, the reg­u­la­to­ry bur­den imposed by CSA is expect­ed to wors­en the dri­ver short­age, raise costs and reduce ser­vice choic­es for ship­pers, he said. “Fedex is com­mit­ted to safe­ty most of all,” he said. “But we need to edu­cate [the pub­lic] about the real-world impact of these changes.”

Euro­pean reg­u­la­tors are erect­ing many bar­ri­ers to trade, he said. A report by the Euro­pean Com­mis­sion iden­ti­fied 700 pro­tec­tion­ist mea­sures since 2008, includ­ing 150 in the last year alone. They include com­plex license require­ments, bor­der fees, duty increas­es and bans on cer­tain imports and exports. A rise in cus­toms inspec­tions has increased the cost of goods and services.

“We must address these bar­ri­ers to trade,” said Logue. He called for expe­dit­ed cus­toms pro­ce­dures and more lib­er­al stan­dards for duty-free treat­ment of imports.


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